Thorny-Snowboarding
0xe12cf41dae3e61794745c1481dcf87c2cd42e7c7
Thorny-Snowboarding: −$1.8K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 40%–70%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.8K
return −1.9%
Settled bets
38
$96K staked
Won
55.3%
95% range 40%–70%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$7.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$140
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$8.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-10? |
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-10? | $2.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 51¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will PSV win on 2026-10-09? |
Will PSV win on 2026-10-09? | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | $2.2K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 94¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | $3.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | $2.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 51¢
Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | $2.9K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | $4.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.