0xc3ed…9f79
0xc3ed109b65de5026da25cf80ce91779dfc2c9f79
0xc3ed…9f79: −$6.3K on 81 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 51% (95% range 40%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$6.3K
return −3.4%
Settled bets
81
$182K staked
Won
50.6%
95% range 40%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 62 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$6.9K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$7.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$6.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Will Malta win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Malta win on 2026-10-04? | $1.2K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 61¢
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02? |
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02? | $1.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 58¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | $2.8K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Vancouver Whitecaps FC
@ 57¢
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Yes
@ 46¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-26? | $1.0K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? | $1.5K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25? | $1.5K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Brazil
@ 59¢
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) |
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.