Each-Reception
0x454bd9b0655c03e38b08f8e45a01bb68de355b8b
Each-Reception: −$7.0K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 19%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$7.0K
return −23.7%
Settled bets
12
$30K staked
Won
41.7%
95% range 19%–68%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 58¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 |
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 55¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | $4.0K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Over
@ 60¢
Czechia vs. England: O/U 2.5 |
Czechia vs. England: O/U 2.5 | $6.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Over
@ 59¢
Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5 |
Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Over
@ 61¢
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 |
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 | $2.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Over
@ 62¢
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5 |
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5 | $3.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 48¢
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-09-12? | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.