Parallel-Trader

0x5e39013a1d7c4b502ad2ea073d7e8a0469ca352c

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Parallel-Trader: +$3.4K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 86% (95% range 67%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.4K
return +7.2%
Settled bets
22
$47K staked
Won
86.4%
95% range 67%–95%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$516
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$904
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$3.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-06?
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-06? $2.4K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 88¢
Will Armenia win on 2026-10-05?
Will Armenia win on 2026-10-05? $2.3K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 89¢
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-03?
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-03? $2.7K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03?
Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03? $2.3K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 83¢
Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02?
Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02? $2.5K
Sep 29 BUY No @ 70¢
Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29?
Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29? $2.1K
Sep 29 BUY No @ 88¢
Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29?
Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29? $2.6K
Sep 26 BUY No @ 76¢
Will England win on 2026-09-26?
Will England win on 2026-09-26? $2.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed