Wasteful-Fourths
0x0811586db1ad9d8d7e0945f6e4139cea8be85d31
Wasteful-Fourths: +$2.5K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 39%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$2.5K
return +16.8%
Settled bets
12
$15K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 39%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$582
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | SELL Atlanta Braves
@ 94¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.2K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 60¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 7¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | $1.5K |
| Sep 29 | SELL Yes
@ 90¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? |
Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | $11K |
| Sep 29 | SELL Yes
@ 75¢
Will England win on 2026-09-29? |
Will England win on 2026-09-29? | $11K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 70¢
Will England win on 2026-09-26? |
Will England win on 2026-09-26? | $4.3K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will France win on 2026-09-25? |
Will France win on 2026-09-25? | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.