Willing-Proposition

0x16b251e0f8b8315a871e7a14596a01da3b53aa5a

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$76K
return +60.6%
Settled bets
70
$126K staked
Won
68.6%
95% range 57%–78%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 40 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$26K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$39K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$11K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 Sold Over at 99¢
Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5
Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 $5.7K
Oct 6 Bought Yes at 84¢
Will Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win on 2026-10-06?
Will Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win on 2026-10-06? $1.3K
Oct 6 Bought No at 42¢
Will Nantong Zhiyun vs. Ningbo Professional FC end in a draw?
Will Nantong Zhiyun vs. Ningbo Professional FC end in a draw? $1.3K
Oct 6 Bought No at 91¢
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-10-06?
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-10-06? $1.3K
Oct 5 Bought Yes at 54¢
Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? $5.4K
Oct 5 Bought Over at 61¢
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5 $4.5K
Oct 5 Bought No at 73¢
Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?
Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw? $1.9K
Oct 3 Bought Over at 56¢
Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5
Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5 $2.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed