Powerful-Begonia
0x162ca4c5249987872fea1e15c846d7fe80316c47
Powerful-Begonia: +$26K on 65 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 42%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$26K
return +15.0%
Settled bets
65
$175K staked
Won
53.8%
95% range 42%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 65 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$33K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$7.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$14K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5 |
1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 52¢
Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-10-10? |
Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-10-10? | $1.2K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 9.5 Total Corners |
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | $5.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Over
@ 58¢
Samsunspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5 |
Samsunspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5 | $5.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 44¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 |
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 44¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 |
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 43¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 |
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 42¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 |
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.