Querulous-Futon
0x56aba5026bf574aea25d731cb6b7d8a8c325784e
Querulous-Futon: +$1.5K on 42 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 86% (95% range 72%–93%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.5K
return +1.8%
Settled bets
42
$87K staked
Won
85.7%
95% range 72%–93%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 34 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$243
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | $4.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $2.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $2.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $3.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.25¢
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $4.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $4.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Buccaneers
@ 99.9¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $9.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 90¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $17K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.