Tame-Ethyl
0xe390b3f7cdbd7d9821c080bbe460a2814770e80f
Tame-Ethyl: −$31K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 9%–41%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$31K
return −51.2%
Settled bets
24
$61K staked
Won
20.8%
95% range 9%–41%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$18K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$11K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 |
Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 | $3.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Islanders
@ 41¢
Islanders vs. Rangers |
Islanders vs. Rangers | $5.1K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will France win on 2026-09-28? |
Will France win on 2026-09-28? | $3.8K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Iberian Soul
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | $2.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
Minnesota vs. Washington: O/U 45.5 |
Minnesota vs. Washington: O/U 45.5 | $2.6K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Yes
@ 27¢
Will England win on 2026-09-26? |
Will England win on 2026-09-26? | $2.7K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Oklahoma
@ 50¢
Spread: Georgia (-13.5) |
Spread: Georgia (-13.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 25 | SELL Over
@ 47¢
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 |
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 | $4.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.