Polymarket market · Other
Will France win on 2026-09-28?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
32 whales put $318K into this market since Sep 25, 69% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$87K and 6 lost −$178K: −$92K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 32| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 57¢ | $101K | — | −$101K |
| Sudden-Dugout-Disconnection
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 53¢ | $68K | — | −$68K |
| Happy-Wife
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $19K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 52¢ | $15K | — | +$7.8K |
| Remote-Kingdom
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 45¢ | $15K | — | +$18K |
| 0x4fdc…ca1f
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 43¢ | $13K | — | +$18K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 59¢ | $8.3K | — | −$679 |
| 0xa0f2…1848
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.8K | — |
| Likable-Promise
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.3K | — |
| Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 43¢ | $6.1K | — | +$7.9K |
| Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 45¢ | $5.3K | — | +$6.5K |
| Fake-Suet
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 47¢ | $5.0K | — | +$5.5K |
| Useless-Premier
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 56¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Flippant-Optimal-Science
27 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 47¢ | $1.0K | $3.0K | — |
| Tame-Ethyl
24 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 41¢ | $3.8K | — | +$5.5K |
| Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 46¢ | $3.7K | — | +$4.3K |
| Quirky-Enthusiasm
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 93¢ | $3.5K | — | +$263 |
| Tangible-Replacement
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $3.3K | — | +$3.2K |
| Hungry-Clavicle
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 45¢ | $2.3K | — | +$2.8K |
| Misty-Mouser
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| 0x0f34…bf5b
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Grave-Castle
22 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Mysterious-Lilac
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 42¢ | $2.1K | — | +$2.9K |
| Guilty-Aide
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 42¢ | $1.9K | — | +$2.6K |
| Miniature-Ad
16 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 45¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
Where the whale money went
-
No lost$185K69% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.2K sold
-
Yes won$83K31% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $47K sold
-
Yes lost$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $2.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 25 to Sep 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).