Grave-Castle

0x51089c0c128100e6c9210759fd932aecf76d29cb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Grave-Castle: +$5.8K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 20%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.8K
return +38.2%
Settled bets
25
$15K staked
Won
36.0%
95% range 20%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$130
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$3.9K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 SELL Yes @ 99.08¢
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? $1.2K
Oct 9 BUY Spirit @ 59¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 5 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will France win on 2026-10-05?
Will France win on 2026-10-05? $1.3K
Oct 5 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar $2.6K
Oct 5 BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 68¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar $1.0K
Oct 4 SELL Yes @ 90¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? $2.7K
Oct 3 BUY Team Falcons @ 57¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) $1.0K
Sep 28 SELL Yes @ 94¢
Will France win on 2026-09-28?
Will France win on 2026-09-28? $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed