Polymarket market · Other

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $327K into this market since Aug 23, 100% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$10K and 1 lost −$1.6K: +$8.4K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Showy-Audit
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $210K — +$6.5K
Thorny-Oversight
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $100K — +$3.1K
Unwritten-Quiet
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $4.9K — +$150
Scared-Administrator
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $2.9K — +$90
Back-Suppression
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $1.9K — +$60
Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $1.9K — +$60
Coordinated-Leather
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $1.9K — +$61
Grumpy-Cytokine
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.9¢ $1.6K — +$2
Sudden-Snowstorm
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $325K
    100% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  2. No lost
    $1.6K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Sep 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? $57K 11 Won: Yes
Will Türkiye vs. Italy end in a draw? $87K 3 Won: No
Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5 $61K 7 Won: Under
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? $64K 9 Won: No
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? $64K 14 Won: Yes
Will France win on 2026-09-28? $318K 32 Won: Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? $69K 13 Won: No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? $207K 15 Won: No
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed