Happy-Wife
0x0e64bde21d716711fbe59095eb0c88fae55e336d
Happy-Wife: −$27K on 59 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 51% (95% range 38%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$27K
return −19.5%
Settled bets
59
$136K staked
Won
50.8%
95% range 38%–63%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 54 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$4.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$30K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Botic van de Zandschulp
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen | $1.7K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Botic van de Zandschulp
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen | $3.3K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 47¢
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5 |
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Laslo Djere
@ 58¢
Villena: Laslo Djere vs Hynek Barton |
Villena: Laslo Djere vs Hynek Barton | $3.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Akira Santillan
@ 36¢
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan |
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Akira Santillan
@ 53¢
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan |
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 65¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz | $6.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Timofei Derepasko
@ 22¢
Wuning 3: Timofei Derepasko vs Omar Jasika |
Wuning 3: Timofei Derepasko vs Omar Jasika | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.