Polymarket market · Other

Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $64K into this market since Sep 28, 57% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$15K and 5 lost −$27K: −$13K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 31¢ $23K — −$23K
Ironclad-Instructor
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 71¢ $21K — +$8.7K
Itchy-Sunlamp-Toad
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 71¢ $13K — +$5.3K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 29¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
High-Radar
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 83¢ $1.4K — +$285
Both-Couple
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 77¢ $1.2K — +$353
Unfinished-Reason
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 31¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Disguised-Cable-Chino
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 32¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
0xcba9…f812
21 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 23¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $37K
    57% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Yes lost
    $27K
    43% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed