Hungry-Clavicle
0xac4773707daddd3792efed5a91f5ec7651a7d234
Hungry-Clavicle: +$48K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 18%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$48K
return +53.3%
Settled bets
13
$90K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 18%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$28K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$23K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 68¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) | $6.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Arthur Fery
@ 41¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery | $9.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yi Zhou
@ 32¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou | $3.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yi Zhou
@ 34¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou | $3.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 22¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $7.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY ShindeN
@ 36¢
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5) | $4.0K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Yes
@ 45¢
Will France win on 2026-09-28? |
Will France win on 2026-09-28? | $2.3K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Over
@ 43¢
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5 | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.