Likable-Promise

0xd41a458d3f034d9b32913f5854afcb94a91aaa9f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Likable-Promise: +$2.5K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.5K
return +31.9%
Settled bets
5
$7.8K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$2.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 29 BUY Hubert Hurkacz @ 34¢
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina $1.3K
Sep 29 BUY Paper Rex @ 27¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C $2.9K
Sep 28 SELL Yes @ 92¢
Will France win on 2026-09-28?
Will France win on 2026-09-28? $7.3K
Sep 28 SELL Enrico Dalla Valle @ 99.9¢
Bari: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Bari: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla Valle $8.4K
Sep 28 BUY GamerLegion @ 40¢
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $3.6K
Sep 27 BUY @ 33¢
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies AND Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka AND Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies AND Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka AND Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia $1.3K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed