Useless-Premier

0x59f4a4b19fcaa99a4df2e7cdda4919aa5afbc1f1

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Useless-Premier: −$66K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 10%–38%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$66K
return −57.8%
Settled bets
29
$113K staked
Won
20.7%
95% range 10%–38%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$51K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.0K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$14K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 28 BUY No @ 56¢
Will France win on 2026-09-28?
Will France win on 2026-09-28? $5.0K
Sep 27 BUY Ravens @ 48¢
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
Spread: Ravens (-3.5) $5.0K
Sep 27 BUY Chiefs @ 47¢
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) $1.0K
Sep 27 BUY Bengals @ 47¢
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
Spread: Bengals (-3.5) $1.0K
Sep 27 BUY Jets @ 49¢
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
Spread: Lions (-6.5) $1.0K
Sep 27 BUY T1 @ 59¢
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) $2.0K
Sep 27 BUY Stanford @ 43¢
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford $4.8K
Sep 27 BUY Stanford @ 42¢
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford $5.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed