0xa0f2…1848
0xa0f21e6d351baa9185716b5c00c2925ed9621848
0xa0f2…1848: −$10K on 130 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 62% (95% range 53%–70%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$10K
return −3.3%
Settled bets
130
$304K staked
Won
61.5%
95% range 53%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 100 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$6.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$9.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$7.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 65¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Rockets
@ 89¢
Rockets vs. Mavericks |
Rockets vs. Mavericks | $1.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Hawks
@ 99¢
Thunder vs. Hawks |
Thunder vs. Hawks | $2.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Hawks
@ 99¢
Thunder vs. Hawks |
Thunder vs. Hawks | $2.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Hawks
@ 99¢
Thunder vs. Hawks |
Thunder vs. Hawks | $2.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Hawks
@ 99¢
Thunder vs. Hawks |
Thunder vs. Hawks | $2.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Hawks
@ 99¢
Thunder vs. Hawks |
Thunder vs. Hawks | $2.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Hawks
@ 99¢
Thunder vs. Hawks |
Thunder vs. Hawks | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.