Polymarket market · Other
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales put $69K into this market since Aug 23, 83% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$346 and 1 lost −$8.4K: −$8.1K between them.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quizzical-Discussion
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $14K | $2.5K | +$161 |
| 0x4488…e319
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.8¢ | $9.1K | — | +$18 |
| Horrible-Goggles
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $8.6K | — |
| Downright-Website
13 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 99.4¢ | $8.4K | — | −$8.4K |
| Single-Adulthood
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $7.5K | — | +$113 |
| Playful-Collateral
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.9K | — |
| Gleaming-Orient
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Warm-Task-Essay
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $2.3K | — | +$2 |
| Gullible-Grassland
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $2.0K | — | +$26 |
| Frail-Bloom
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.7¢ | $1.6K | — | +$5 |
| Known-Use
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Big-Hearted-Breakthrough
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $1.3K | — | +$15 |
| 0x1fd0…c6a7
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.5¢ | $1.2K | — | +$6 |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$39K83% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $21K sold
-
No lost$8.4K18% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Sep 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).