Polymarket market · Sports

Colts vs. Commanders

Resolved: Colts won · See it on Polymarket ↗

49 whales put $749K into this market since Sep 30, 84% of their buying on Colts. Colts won. Of the 45 whales whose whole position we captured, 32 made +$301K and 13 lost −$114K: +$187K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 49
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Growing-Comestible
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 66¢ $282K — +$145K
Ugly-Laboratory
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 87¢ $67K — +$9.9K
Boring-Musician
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 67¢ $63K — +$31K
Homely-Gosling
8 settled bets Too few bets
Commanders @ 15¢ $47K — −$47K
Heavenly-Numismatist
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 60¢ $46K — +$28K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 69¢ $25K — +$11K
Snappy-Basketball
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 50¢ $20K — +$20K
Jaunty-Private-Assignment
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Commanders @ 48¢ $19K — −$19K
Dual-Criticism
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Commanders @ 23¢ $16K — −$16K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 52¢ $12K — +$12K
Itchy-Sunlamp-Toad
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 87¢ $10K — +$1.5K
Enraged-Promenade
9 settled bets Too few bets
Colts @ 67¢ $9.5K — −$622
Disloyal-Backyard
32 settled bets Worse than the odds
Commanders @ 48¢ $9.4K — −$9.4K
Flaky-Campaign
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 64¢ $8.8K — +$4.9K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Colts @ 72¢ $8.5K — +$1.4K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Colts @ 56¢ $8.4K — +$6.6K
Unkempt-Image
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Commanders @ 34¢ $8.3K — −$2.1K
Careful-Gazebo
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Commanders @ 40¢ $7.9K — −$7.9K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Colts @ 62¢ $7.5K — +$4.6K
Strident-Patience-Symbol
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 58¢ $7.2K — +$5.2K
Leading-Possible
3 settled bets Too few bets
Colts @ 66¢ $5.0K — +$2.6K
Shiny-Advertisement
14 settled bets Too few bets
Colts @ 62¢ $4.9K — +$3.0K
Neighboring-Bunkhouse
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 73¢ $4.9K — +$1.8K
Corrupt-Poisoning
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Colts @ 81¢ $4.3K — +$1.0K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Colts @ 80¢ $1.9K $1.9K +$47

Where the whale money went

  1. Colts won
    $619K
    84% of whale buying · 35 buyers · $6.4K sold
  2. Commanders lost
    $122K
    17% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $1.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Colts (-3.5) $227K 10 Won: Colts
Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 $68K 11 Won: Under
Spread: Colts (-4.5) $272K 10 Won: Colts
Cardinals vs. Giants: O/U 44.5 $66K 3 Won: Over
Spread: Bills (-6.5) $127K 9 Won: Patriots
Spread: Bengals (-2.5) $61K 5 Won: Jaguars
Spread: Bears (-3.5) $85K 9 Won: Bears
Spread: Texans (-7.5) $66K 4 Won: Cowboys
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed