Jaunty-Private-Assignment
0xae7ffba3fd102de1a4f795853ad3de06ad666f49
Jaunty-Private-Assignment: −$49K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 29%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$49K
return −22.3%
Settled bets
23
$221K staked
Won
47.8%
95% range 29%–67%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$43K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$4.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Giants
@ 74¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $7.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Giants
@ 38¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $3.8K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Eagles
@ 41¢
Rams vs. Eagles |
Rams vs. Eagles | $7.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Commanders
@ 48¢
Colts vs. Commanders |
Colts vs. Commanders | $19K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Raiders
@ 18¢
Raiders vs. Saints |
Raiders vs. Saints | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Raiders
@ 44¢
Raiders vs. Chargers |
Raiders vs. Chargers | $4.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Chargers
@ 48¢
Raiders vs. Chargers |
Raiders vs. Chargers | $4.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Texans
@ 44¢
Bengals vs. Texans |
Bengals vs. Texans | $4.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.