Ugly-Laboratory
0x9db82de5a71ae539bc82f4d9ac3a007c7d742eff
Ugly-Laboratory: +$33K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 40%–70%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$33K
return +9.3%
Settled bets
38
$355K staked
Won
55.3%
95% range 40%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$29K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$60K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $21K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 25¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $8.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 81¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | $4.9K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 35¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Falcons
@ 44¢
Spread: Falcons (-2.5) |
Spread: Falcons (-2.5) | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Seahawks
@ 78¢
Chargers vs. Seahawks |
Chargers vs. Seahawks | $18K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Cardinals
@ 75¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $29K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Giants
@ 24¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $6.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.