Leading-Possible
0xb68bf18c9847c0f14318d31cc3e8b39733929b23
Leading-Possible: −$6.0K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$6.0K
return −44.1%
Settled bets
3
$14K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$8.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Colts
@ 66¢
Colts vs. Commanders |
Colts vs. Commanders | $5.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Notre Dame
@ 49¢
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) |
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) | $7.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Alabama
@ 49¢
Spread: Alabama (-18.5) |
Spread: Alabama (-18.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 19 | SELL
@ 37¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss AND Florida State vs. Alabama |
LSU vs. Ole Miss AND Florida State vs. Alabama | $1.6K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.