Strident-Patience-Symbol

0x7a75a4183e577123db9ff0adff520561ef95d288

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Strident-Patience-Symbol: +$23K on 32 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 72%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$23K
return +4.3%
Settled bets
32
$538K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 72%–95%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$15K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$8.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Vikings @ 92¢
Dolphins vs. Vikings
Dolphins vs. Vikings $60K
Oct 4 BUY Packers @ 87¢
Packers vs. Buccaneers
Packers vs. Buccaneers $3.7K
Oct 4 BUY Colts @ 58¢
Colts vs. Commanders
Colts vs. Commanders $7.2K
Oct 3 BUY Tennessee @ 93¢
Auburn vs. Tennessee
Auburn vs. Tennessee $1.4K
Oct 3 BUY Ohio State @ 94¢
Ohio State vs. Iowa
Ohio State vs. Iowa $26K
Oct 3 BUY Ohio State @ 93¢
Ohio State vs. Iowa
Ohio State vs. Iowa $1.4K
Oct 3 BUY Alabama @ 87¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State
Alabama vs. Mississippi State $17K
Oct 3 BUY Alabama @ 78¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State
Alabama vs. Mississippi State $10K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed