Polymarket market · Other

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales put $409K into this market since Sep 14, 58% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 21 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$26K and 7 lost −$112K: −$86K between them.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unwilling-Trade
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $200K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 52¢ $50K — −$50K
Perky-Porch
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $30K — −$30K
Frozen-Birdwatcher
79 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99.9¢ $27K — +$27
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $20K — −$15K
Descriptive-Shoehorn
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $13K — +$13K
Sudden-Dugout-Disconnection
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $12K — −$12K
Inexperienced-Beetle
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $10K — +$10
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 59¢ $8.7K — +$1.2K
Joyful-Ellipse
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.6K —
Original-Lily
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.6¢ $2.2K $5.2K —
Nutty-Dwelling-Basics
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $3.5K — +$4.0K
Ideal-Plane
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Short-Term-Aspic
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 93¢ $3.0K — +$232
Parallel-Trader
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 83¢ $2.5K — +$510
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
140 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
International-Deal
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $1.6K — +$83
Political-Casualty-Riding
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.3K — +$1
Showy-Downgrade
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $1.1K — +$1.1K
Lumpy-Video
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 53¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Revolving-Clogs
16 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Exemplary-Hundred-Pendant
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $1.1K — +$1.1K
Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $1.0K — +$1.1K
Orderly-Venture
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $1.0K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $114K
    58% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. Yes won
    $79K
    40% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $214K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $3.5K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 14 to Sep 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed