Perky-Porch
0x1c27279c65b33090c36d16a8d0cfafea55b4b1ba
Perky-Porch: −$196K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 4%–40%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$196K
return −68.0%
Settled bets
14
$288K staked
Won
14.3%
95% range 4%–40%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$115K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$48K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$32K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 63¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? |
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | $6.5K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Over
@ 48¢
Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 4.5 Corners |
Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 4.5 Corners | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Under
@ 17¢
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 |
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 | $2.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Under
@ 17¢
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 |
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 | $2.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Under
@ 17¢
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 |
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 | $2.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 28¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $8.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 28¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $4.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 28¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $22K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.