Orderly-Venture
0xd48a81db62f742c4e42d86dfc23a7ee345366e90
Orderly-Venture: −$5.2K on 82 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 49% (95% range 38%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$5.2K
return −5.5%
Settled bets
82
$94K staked
Won
48.8%
95% range 38%–59%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 82 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$863
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$189
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5 |
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 60¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09? | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 37¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09? | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 46¢
PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5 |
PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 60¢
Moreirense FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5 |
Moreirense FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 42¢
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-10-09? | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will Henan FC win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Henan FC win on 2026-10-09? | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 |
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.