Inexperienced-Beetle

0xb6bf9ee0da6897d2bbee101df45a2244255fec1a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Inexperienced-Beetle: +$33 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$33
return +0.2%
Settled bets
3
$23K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$21
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$12
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? $10K
Sep 6 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Zizou Bergs win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Will Zizou Bergs win the 2026 Men's US Open? $2.1K
Sep 1 BUY Elena Rybakina @ 99.8¢
US Open WTA: Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakina
US Open WTA: Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakina $10K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed