Polymarket market · Other

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales put $341K into this market since Sep 16, 95% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$31K and 5 lost −$15K: +$16K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 91¢ $230K — +$24K
Shiny-Appetizer
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 89¢ $17K — +$2.1K
0xc4c1…6b32
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 91¢ $13K — +$1.3K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 88¢ $11K — +$1.5K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 86¢ $7.9K — +$135
0xc92a…f183
19 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 88¢ $1.6K $6.0K —
Unwitting-Degradation-Attendant
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 13¢ $5.6K — −$5.6K
Full-Fighter
18 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 89¢ $5.5K — +$680
Virtuous-Encounter
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.1K —
Proud-Patrolling-Nose
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $5.0K — +$103
International-Deal
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $4.5K — +$93
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 13¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
0xb5a5…e3ca
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 88¢ $3.3K — +$444
Anchored-Grit
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.1K —
0xf68a…5b13
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 88¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
0x56fb…12c5
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 91¢ $2.0K — +$198
0x3696…69ce
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 90¢ $1.9K — +$212
Pungent-Profit
12 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 90¢ $1.9K — +$212
Frilly-Endoderm
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Timely-Expansionism
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.66¢ $1.2K — +$4
Practical-Guidance
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Cavernous-Undershirt
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Gifted-Sight
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 27¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 12¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $306K
    95% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $18K sold
  2. No lost
    $13K
    4% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $2.8K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $2.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16 to Sep 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed