Joyful-Ellipse
0x8cfd5069c61048aded54cba9b7102c57d57395c4
Joyful-Ellipse: +$9.8K on 27 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 37%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$9.8K
return +15.1%
Settled bets
27
$65K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 37%–72%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$4.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$5.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$151
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | $2.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 90¢
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | $1.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? |
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 87¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | $2.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 77¢
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20? |
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20? | $5.0K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | $6.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $4.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 49¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.