Ideal-Plane
0x5fc7fc92cee6a83dbb4e780f9e057abaf90d443f
Ideal-Plane: +$962 on 40 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 38%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$962
return +1.1%
Settled bets
40
$91K staked
Won
52.5%
95% range 38%–67%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 34 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 59¢
Spain vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Spain
@ 60¢
Spread: Spain (-2.5) |
Spread: Spain (-2.5) | $3.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | $1.4K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Yes
@ 67¢
Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | $1.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Up
@ 67¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | $2.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Up
@ 66¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Up
@ 43¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | $2.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Up
@ 63¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.