Swift-Census
0xbadb9af986ee66437bd39e6cd3d3036cbbdc31a7
Swift-Census: −$203 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$203
return −6.4%
Settled bets
6
$3.2K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$203
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Vitality
@ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Aug 24 | SELL FORZE Reload
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Walczaki
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs X-CITY (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs X-CITY (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Aug 21 | BUY ThunderTalk Gaming
@ 54¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Aug 20 | SELL WRAITH PCIFIC
@ 49¢
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Drip Too Hard - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Drip Too Hard - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Nigma Galaxy
@ 35¢
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Aug 20 | BUY WRAITH PCIFIC
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Drip Too Hard (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Drip Too Hard (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Aug 20 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend |
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | $5.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.