Naive-Motel
0x4ffe508fd64cc1f6ceadf0a35c0ccdcb08a08d97
Naive-Motel: +$298 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$298
return +17.7%
Settled bets
6
$1.7K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$298
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Team Falcons
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 62¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | $2.2K |
| Oct 5 | SELL G2
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Vitality
@ 85¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.