Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller
0x0d23fc6838433dbff11e4667ef5991e9dd9d2d56
Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller: +$40K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 47%–82%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$40K
return +24.7%
Settled bets
24
$162K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 47%–82%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- +$19K
- Sep 25 – Oct 14
- +$21K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7%
(2,280 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Over
@ 62¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5 |
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | $5.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Adolfo Vallejo
@ 59¢
Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Adolfo Vallejo (+1.5) |
Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Adolfo Vallejo (+1.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yibing Wu
@ 57¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng | $5.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 50¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 67¢
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Novak Djokovic (+1.5) |
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Novak Djokovic (+1.5) | $15K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Greece vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 |
Greece vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.