Bustling-Safe
Skill vs luck
Bustling-Safe on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 89% (95% range 56%–98%) · profit +$169. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Bustling-Safe: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x487fafa2281596ccb154aa6a9e01f9ff43ae1cfe. Data CC BY 4.0.
Bustling-Safe: +$169 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$169
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 95¢ | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5 |
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5 | $3.9K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Washington @ 99.7¢ | Washington vs. Purdue ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 16 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 15? |
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 15? | $3.1K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | $1.1K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Up
@ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | $1.1K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Down
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | $1.2K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Up
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ET | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?