0x45c0…c845
Skill vs luck
0x45c0…c845 on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$6.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x45c0…c845: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x45c0dd299fc9d7155b468cfbe7f0f409d1e0c845. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x45c0…c845: −$6.1K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$6.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 48¢ | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $8.3K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Under
@ 56¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $1.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?