Polymarket market · Sports

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

45 whales put $531K into this market since Sep 17, 44% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 36 whales whose whole position we captured, 28 made +$58K and 8 lost −$287K: −$228K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 45
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Ragged-Aspect-Earring
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 29¢ $131K — −$131K
Perky-Porch
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 28¢ $87K — −$87K
Worrisome-Memory
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 75¢ $49K — −$49K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $31K —
Scholarly-Lab
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $23K — +$8.7K
0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 74¢ $22K — +$7.6K
Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 75¢ $19K — +$4.9K
Agile-Chatter
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 77¢ $15K — +$4.7K
Dishonest-Association
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $15K — +$5.5K
Deficient-Morale
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 75¢ $10K — +$3.3K
0xb5a5…e3ca
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $9.6K — +$3.7K
Ugly-Laboratory
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 26¢ $9.6K — −$9.6K
Disloyal-Spree
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 74¢ $3.5K $4.8K —
Grateful-Chest
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 81¢ $5.7K — +$1.3K
Mushy-Lens
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.6K —
Shameless-Sugar
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.1K —
Reliable-Giggle
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $2.3K $2.7K +$401
Authorized-Deficit
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.0K —
Exalted-Evocation
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $4.9K — +$2.0K
Distant-Pomelo
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $4.6K — +$1.0K
Joyful-Ellipse
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 81¢ $4.5K — +$1.1K
Kosher-Refuse
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 74¢ $4.4K — +$1.6K
High-Level-Methodology
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $4.4K — −$4.4K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 25¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Bare-Creek-Console
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $2.0K $2.0K +$320

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $205K
    44% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.4K sold
  2. Yes won
    $179K
    38% of whale buying · 31 buyers · $60K sold
  3. No lost
    $84K
    18% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 17 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed