High-Level-Methodology
0x75b0deb4f24fe13547cd9f7c4fb38e09e55c7db2
High-Level-Methodology: −$2.3K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 28%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.3K
return −10.5%
Settled bets
16
$22K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 28%–72%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | SELL T1 Academy
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A |
LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | $3.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 73¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $4.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Feyenoord Rotterdam
@ 72¢
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5) |
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Feyenoord Rotterdam
@ 55¢
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5) |
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy
@ 70¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Karmine Corp
@ 54¢
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? |
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | $3.3K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 70¢
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? |
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.