Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Resolved: Manchester City FC won · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales put $51K into this market since Sep 19, 36% of their buying on Sunderland AFC. Manchester City FC won. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$17K and 1 lost −$35K: −$18K between them.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Sunderland AFC @ 52¢ $35K — −$35K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Manchester City FC @ 49¢ $11K — +$11K
Deficient-Morale
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Manchester City FC @ 49¢ $3.0K — +$3.1K
Anguished-Clam
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Manchester City FC @ 48¢ $2.0K — +$2.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Sunderland AFC lost
    $18K
    36% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  2. Sunderland AFC lost
    $17K
    33% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Manchester City FC won
    $16K
    31% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed