0xb5a5…e3ca
0xb5a5dca472a82c1b7770dc801d637b429032e3ca
0xb5a5…e3ca: +$17K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 58%–92%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$17K
return +19.8%
Settled bets
20
$84K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 58%–92%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$936
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$18K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | BUY Yes
@ 77¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? | $1.8K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 67¢
Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-23? |
Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-23? | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 69¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | $11K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $4.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 73¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $5.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-19? |
Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-19? | $2.7K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 77¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.