Deficient-Morale
0xbe7ef1907a730226453814dedeee3995c0656d00
Deficient-Morale: −$27K on 83 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 42%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$27K
return −10.0%
Settled bets
83
$274K staked
Won
53.0%
95% range 42%–63%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 73 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$44K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$9.8K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$6.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 |
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 38¢
Manchester City FC leading at halftime? |
Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | $2.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Over
@ 59¢
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 |
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | $10K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Over
@ 62¢
Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 |
Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 | $3.0K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 |
Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 | $16K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Over
@ 43¢
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5 |
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5 | $3.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Albirex Niigata: Both Teams to Score |
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Albirex Niigata: Both Teams to Score | $3.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will CF América win on 2026-10-10? |
Will CF América win on 2026-10-10? | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.