Distant-Pomelo
0xd27cc742d023d06ef633a4c880cf1ff1836ec081
Distant-Pomelo: −$4.5K on 158 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 45%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.5K
return −0.8%
Settled bets
158
$545K staked
Won
53.2%
95% range 45%–61%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 105 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$8.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$31K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$35K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Oklahoma
@ 99.9¢
Texas vs. Oklahoma |
Texas vs. Oklahoma | $5.5K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Taylor Fritz
@ 79¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | $1.5K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Learner Tien
@ 74¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 66¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09? | $3.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL West Indies
@ 99.9¢
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies |
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | $3.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 67¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $3.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY fnatic
@ 64¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 84¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $5.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.