Shameless-Sugar
0x3eebc6525e6f9e3d87cdedaf3bbdc0a2ea04c387
Shameless-Sugar: −$4.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.5K
return −132.8%
Settled bets
4
$3.4K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$2.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | SELL Yes
@ 74¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $5.1K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 52¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Aug 27 | BUY FC Barcelona
@ 57¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) |
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $1.0K |
| Aug 26 | BUY FC Barcelona
@ 32¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) |
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | $2.3K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.