Dishonest-Association

0xa8caf30a6a9c6e670f5602827f4e435d1d4cd535

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dishonest-Association: +$56K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 65%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$56K
return +51.7%
Settled bets
7
$108K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 65%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$5.7K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$50K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 73¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? $15K
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 55¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? $2.0K
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 45¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? $13K
Sep 9 BUY Alexander Zverev @ 88¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp $5.0K
Sep 9 BUY Alexander Zverev @ 88¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp $3.0K
Sep 9 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 68¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz $13K
Sep 9 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 68¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz $13K
Sep 4 BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 95¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla Rakhimova
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla Rakhimova $10K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed