Mushy-Lens

0x0c3932a63fdaa192a58d4f99c2ac6656b5caca9d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Mushy-Lens: −$884 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$884
return −36.5%
Settled bets
4
$2.4K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$884
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 84¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? $5.6K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 99¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.6K
Sep 16 SELL Yes @ 84¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? $2.6K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 32¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? $1.0K
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 49¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14?
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? $1.4K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed