Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Resolved: Aurora Gaming won · See it on Polymarket ↗
29 whales traded $171K on this market since Oct 26, 58% of their buying on Aurora Gaming. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 96% of the size there to buy. Aurora Gaming won, with 58% of the whale buying on it. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$21K and 9 lost −$38K: −$18K between them. Biggest win: Steel-Bull, +$4.6K on Aurora Gaming. Biggest loss: Sparse-Handgun, −$10K on Liquid.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 29| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Flair-Outfielder
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $45K | — |
| Scary-Edible
1,615 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Liquid @ 20¢ | $17K | — | −$5.2K |
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
504 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 70¢ | $15K | — | +$1.4K |
| Sparse-Handgun
33 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Liquid @ 16¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| Wrathful-Row
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 77¢ | $8.3K | — | +$2.5K |
| Steel-Bull
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 62¢ | $7.6K | — | +$4.6K |
| Straight-Wife-Miter
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Liquid @ 38¢ | $6.7K | — | −$6.7K |
| Harmonious-Pond
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Liquid @ 26¢ | $6.4K | — | −$6.4K |
| Delicious-Attacker
646 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Liquid @ 55¢ | $6.0K | — | −$4.8K |
| Proper-Chair-Songbird
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Aurora Gaming @ 61¢ | $4.4K | — | +$2.9K |
| Likely-Feedback
57 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Aurora Gaming @ 61¢ | $1.6K | $2.6K | +$1.0K |
| Caring-User
121 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 72¢ | $3.5K | — | −$456 |
| Stylish-Pattypan
207 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 82¢ | $3.4K | — | +$755 |
| Peppery-Podcast
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.3K | — |
| Sophisticated-Order
17 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $3.3K | — |
| Used-Moose
27 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Aurora Gaming @ 62¢ | $2.7K | — | +$1.7K |
| Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 74¢ | $2.7K | — | +$935 |
| Valid-Subtitle
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 62¢ | $2.5K | — | +$1.5K |
| Tight-Decoration
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 83¢ | $2.5K | — | +$506 |
| Plush-Debate-Paddle
24 settled bets Too few bets |
Liquid @ 34¢ | $1.0K | $1.4K | — |
| Cautious-Backup
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 72¢ | $2.2K | — | +$840 |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,434 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Aurora Gaming @ 82¢ | $2.0K | — | +$441 |
| Aged-Laughter
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 63¢ | $1.9K | — | +$1.1K |
| Discrete-Century
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Liquid @ 67¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| That-Newspaper
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Liquid @ 27¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
Where the whale money went
-
Aurora Gaming won$66K58% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $58K sold
-
Liquid lost$44K39% of whale buying · 10 buyers
-
Aurora Gaming lost$3.5K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $62K | 15 | Won: BIG | |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $84K | 18 | Won: TheMongolz | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $89K | 24 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A | $111K | 7 | Won: FaZe | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | $232K | 27 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | $54K | 19 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | $65K | 16 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $144K | 10 | Won: Nemiga |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?