Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Resolved: BIG won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $62K on this market since Oct 26, 63% of their buying on BIG. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. BIG won, with 63% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$28K and 4 lost −$22K: +$6.2K between them. Biggest win: Any-Keystone, +$8.4K on BIG. Biggest loss: Creative-Midwife, −$17K on magic.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creative-Midwife
201 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
magic @ 43¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Any-Keystone
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
BIG @ 58¢ | $12K | — | +$8.4K |
| Sharp-Crisis-Opposite
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
BIG @ 58¢ | $10K | — | +$7.6K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,434 settled bets Beat the odds* |
BIG @ 58¢ | $5.4K | — | +$3.9K |
| Peppery-Cave
2 settled bets Too few bets |
BIG @ 58¢ | $2.9K | — | +$2.1K |
| Personal-Harmonize
4 settled bets Too few bets |
magic @ 43¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Distant-Eyeliner-Top
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
magic @ 66¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Swift-Census
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
BIG @ 58¢ | $1.7K | — | +$1.3K |
| Wide-Sprout
76 settled bets Beat the odds* |
BIG @ 58¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.1K |
| Frozen-Metabolite-Harpooner
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Plush-Debate-Paddle
24 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Gregarious-Instrumentation
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
BIG @ 34¢ | $1.3K | — | +$2.5K |
| Aged-Laughter
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
BIG @ 58¢ | $1.2K | — | +$840 |
| Carefree-Grouse-Iris
1 settled bets Too few bets |
magic @ 67¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Charming-Instrumentalist
211 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
BIG @ 58¢ | $1.1K | — | +$775 |
Where the whale money went
-
BIG won$37K63% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $2.7K sold
-
magic lost$22K37% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $171K | 29 | Won: Aurora Gaming | |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A | $111K | 7 | Won: FaZe | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | $232K | 27 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $84K | 18 | Won: TheMongolz | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $89K | 24 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | $54K | 19 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | $65K | 16 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $144K | 10 | Won: Nemiga |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?