Tight-Decoration

0x4d6ef7033e3e332ba584882d09070b3abe755cfd

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tight-Decoration: +$333 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$333
return +1.1%
Settled bets
5
$30K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$2.1K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY FUT Esports @ 47¢
Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A
Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A $9.3K
Oct 3 BUY Lightning @ 61¢
Capitals vs. Lightning
Capitals vs. Lightning $12K
Sep 30 BUY Team Vitality @ 70¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner $4.3K
Sep 24 BUY Over @ 49¢
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 $2.0K
Sep 17 BUY FlyQuest RED @ 36¢
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs $2.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed