Petty-Flair-Outfielder
Skill vs luck
Petty-Flair-Outfielder on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 43% (95% range 16%–75%) · profit −$50K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Petty-Flair-Outfielder: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xdad3251e1639eb14da805365f56bf389575961cf. Data CC BY 4.0.
Petty-Flair-Outfielder: −$50K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$52K
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$1.9K
Latest captured bets
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?