Polymarket market · Other
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $52K on this market since Aug 27, 96% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gleaming-Orient
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 94¢ | $1.9K | $11K |
| Rude-Ale
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 95¢ | $7.8K | — |
| 0xb8b4…1f6e
no settled record |
No @ 94¢ | $6.1K | — |
| Overlooked-Guilty
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $4.0K | — |
| Sudden-Snowstorm
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 97¢ | $3.4K | — |
| Wobbly-Pants
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K |
| Fearless-Misnomer
38 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K |
| Yellow-Bother
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $2.3K | — |
| 0x9238…b73e
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K |
| Writhing-Round
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Quick-Cardboard
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 97¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Internal-Hail
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K |
| 0x166a…d7ed
no settled record |
No @ 98¢ | $1.4K | — |
| 0x97d3…3f3c
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$29K96% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $22K sold
-
No$1.4K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 27 to Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792479640).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | $69K | 14 | Open | |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19? | $72K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16? | $52K | 8 | Won: No | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | $236K | 48 | Open | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $86K | 30 | Open | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $59K | 18 | Open | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $68K | 15 | Open | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $105K | 11 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?